Total-Dissonance
0x1bd86e664d7e1d8bed57d10d542c0e4ce0399c56
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.49
Total PnL
$-37.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.24
$-6.76
- NO
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.26
$-1.74
- NO
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
270 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
18 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.07May 19, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.08May 19, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce new sanctions on China?$1.50May 19, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLSBF released from custody in 2026?$3.61May 19, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$4.96May 18, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.49May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.62May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.51May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.05May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.38May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.51May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.44May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.47May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.49May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.53May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.39May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.67May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.63May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.42May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.57May 18, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.