Virtuous-Ski
0x1c2209c1fbe1b0b388cb4186b2b33eeb8a7c76fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$34.43
Total PnL
$-760.87
Realised
$26.65
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
204 shares @ 15.9¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.45
$-25.01
- YES
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?
200 shares @ 4.5¢·now 3.4¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$6.70
$-2.27
- YES
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?
198 shares @ 7.5¢·now 3.3¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$6.53
$-8.34
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?
150 shares @ 14.7¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.88
$-17.12
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?
150 shares @ 7.2¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.27
$-6.52
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
44 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.42
$-5.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
44 shares @ 18.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.67
$-6.25
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
9 shares @ 30.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.51
$-2.27
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?
1428 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-115.63
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
959 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-128.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$10.00Jun 28, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?$0.77Apr 11, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$0.00Apr 7, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$0.00Apr 7, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$0.00Apr 7, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of March?$0.00Apr 7, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?$0.80Apr 2, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?$1.35Apr 2, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?$2.03Apr 2, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?$1.98Apr 2, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?$1.29Apr 2, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?$1.56Apr 2, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?$1.56Apr 2, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?$11.48Mar 30, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?$0.80Mar 30, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$7.67Mar 30, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$0.83Mar 30, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?$0.06Mar 23, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?$6.40Mar 23, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?$2.08Mar 23, 10:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.