Torn-Picket
0x1ca9521ac17f434a1fce224c7584a0b62882cfaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-980.51
Realised
$38.47
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
673 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?
412 shares @ 59.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-245.50
- YES
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
272 shares @ 73.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings?
267 shares @ 68.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-182.99
- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
200 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
186 shares @ 67.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-125.60
- NO
North Korea missile launch by November 15?
132 shares @ 75.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- FERY
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Fery
126 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.97
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
28 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.93
Recent activity
- REWARD$28.24May 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.00May 2, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.03May 2, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$0.10May 2, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.34May 2, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.64May 2, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$0.77May 2, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.37May 2, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.28May 2, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.31May 2, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$2.45May 2, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.99May 2, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$7.84May 2, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$8.02May 2, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$8.75May 2, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$56.16May 2, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$74.17May 2, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$198.96May 2, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$272.72May 2, 01:39 UTC
- MERGESpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$3.80May 2, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $25.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 19:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.