Intelligent-Precision
0x1ceaabf230a848b4f41b721a2fef98bc597f181d
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-7.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
518 shares @ 86.9¢·now 91.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$472.78
$22.78
- NO
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
588 shares @ 85.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$435.29
$-64.71
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
533 shares @ 46.9¢·now 36.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$194.69
$-55.31
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
180 shares @ 83.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$160.94
$10.94
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
609 shares @ 24.6¢·now 23.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$145.31
$-4.69
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?
359 shares @ 69.6¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2026$143.68
$-106.32
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
128 shares @ 78.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$119.87
$19.87
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
154 shares @ 65.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$118.08
$18.08
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
116 shares @ 86.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$112.67
$12.67
- NO
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.00
$10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$175.44Jul 28, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$360.70Jul 27, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$253.16Jul 20, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56.18Jul 20, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$285.60Jul 14, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$100.00Jul 14, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$101.75Jul 14, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$365.85Jul 12, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 0.5$121.95Jul 12, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5$77.20Jul 12, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$506.00Jul 12, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$222.22Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$256.41Jul 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$202.20Jul 11, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$201.00Jul 11, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$302.70Jul 11, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 0.5$100.90Jul 10, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$101.72Jul 10, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?$50.00Jul 10, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$100.69Jul 10, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $273.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 06:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.