Unwelcome-Resolve
0x1d379e322ef813587a3e13ad79857c45edc7f4a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$27.8K
Total PnL
$-19.4K
Realised
$-6.8K
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
139700 shares @ 16.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.5K
$-12.8K
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
65001 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.5K
$-972.61
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
10968 shares @ 19.9¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.3K
$1.1K
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
19900 shares @ 18.8¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$-857.46
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?
2814 shares @ 35.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$1.8K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1645 shares @ 23.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$1.3K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
500 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$500.00
$365.00
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
4485 shares @ 15.5¢·now 5.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$251.17
$-443.02
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?
234 shares @ 73.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$234.35
$62.87
- YES
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?
783 shares @ 43.6¢·now 11.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$90.07
$-251.54
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.49Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.51Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.55Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.55Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.55Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.