Best-Countryside
0x1ecc7a2df5f34a31d7c72bdda9036ce6036e5466
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$651.69
Total PnL
$-252.02
Realised
$8.88
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
280 shares @ 46.4¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$229.60
$99.70
- NO
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
370 shares @ 21.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$153.55
$75.95
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
103 shares @ 78.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.84
$15.44
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 57.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$75.64
$29.34
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$49.25
$19.25
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
50 shares @ 82.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.82
$6.82
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
696 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-123.06
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
300 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
180 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-106.88
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
100 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jul 2, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?$30.00Jun 21, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?$31.50Jun 21, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?$16.10Jun 21, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 11, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 11, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 11, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.00Jun 11, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$40.00Jun 11, 21:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.04Apr 28, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.59Apr 28, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$7.40Apr 28, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $15.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 00:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 17:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.