Cavernous-Threat
0x1f275fa02b91485f2a0a1e20aa0a21ef43b1bf7f
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$59.13
Total PnL
$-16.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
39 shares @ 38.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.25
$-3.75
- NO
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$5.93
$0.93
- YES
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.79
$-0.21
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.96
$-1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 11?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$3.07
$-1.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 11?
144 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 11, 2026$2.24
$-2.76
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
35 shares @ 5.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.39
$-0.61
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- G2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?$1.045h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?$1.035h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 11?$5.227h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$2.087h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Matt Gaetz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Mike Lee as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Eric Shmitt as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Jeff Clark as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Ted Cruz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$15.007h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner$1.027h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$1.017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$5.097h ago
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.057h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8h ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
