Fearful-Notion
0x1f517a74391e63b155113104708cb5520a3f09ad
Quality score
73/100
Open positions
26
Open notional
$802.81
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$6.45
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
267 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$266.87
$0.40
- YES
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?
503 shares @ 14.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$261.56
$191.14
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
418 shares @ 35.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$146.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
131 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$115.28
$0.00
- YES
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 39.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$4.25
$-2.38
- YES
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.10
$-1.10
- YES
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.17
$0.28
- YES
Brex IPO before 2027?
49 shares @ 9.3¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.84
$-2.72
- NO
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 19.5¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.44
$0.24
- YES
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
1 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$115.282d ago
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$166.7513d ago
- TRADESELLWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.9614d ago
- TRADESELLWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$187.6414d ago
- TRADESELLWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.9214d ago
- TRADESELLWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$103.0414d ago
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$112.4014d ago
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$292.4014d ago
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$70.8014d ago
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$172.8014d ago
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$289.0814d ago
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$175.1114d ago
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$463.7114d ago
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$341.6414d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$172.5014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$182.8714d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$99.3614d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$3.7014d ago
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$149.0015d ago
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$574.0015d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $188.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 45d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.