Understated-Knitting
0x1f6efbeb45c7d265c8a17b99d385c8614feaa3c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$191.85
Total PnL
$-23.57
Realised
$13.35
Win rate
56%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
43 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$42.50
$26.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
29 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$29.00
$13.05
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
26 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$26.00
$3.12
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
16 shares @ 82.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.00
$2.83
- YES
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
16 shares @ 81.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.00
$2.99
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?
16 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$16.00
$9.60
- YES
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
15 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$15.00
$6.30
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$13.00
$6.76
- NO
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
12 shares @ 14.9¢·now 93.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.17
$9.38
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?
3 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.00
$1.53
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$9.57Jan 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the first round by less than 2%?$4.86Jan 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the first round by less than 2%?$12.96Jan 16, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?$23.20Jan 16, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the first round?$2.70Jan 16, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the first round by less than 2%?$18.04Jan 16, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$2.20Jan 16, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.32Jan 16, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.10Jan 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?$9.12Jan 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?$7.41Jan 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?$4.56Jan 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$20.01Jan 15, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?$4.10Jan 15, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$9.13Jan 15, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$10.66Jan 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$3.74Jan 15, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?$22.88Jan 15, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$8.90Jan 15, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$11.69Jan 15, 23:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 21:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".