0x1ff3d3fdef2558f3eb4aabdd7011a0245df8eb39
0x1ff3d3fdef2558f3eb4aabdd7011a0245df8eb39
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$-42.53
Realised
$107.11
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
1457 shares @ 82.7¢·now 80.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.2K
$-31.11
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1050 shares @ 93.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$976.50
$-8.50
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
750 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$693.75
$3.75
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
440 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$430.62
$9.10
- NO
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
350 shares @ 91.3¢·now 91.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$319.55
$0.05
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
400 shares @ 78.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$314.00
$1.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 83.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$277.50
$27.50
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
265 shares @ 89.3¢·now 97.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$257.31
$20.54
- NO
Kash Patel out by May 31?
175 shares @ 83.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$158.37
$12.92
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 90.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$134.25
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$138.00May 18, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$46.50May 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$44.84May 18, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$8.39May 18, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?$42.00May 18, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?$16.60May 18, 01:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$44.84May 17, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$134.67May 17, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$13.44May 17, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.57May 17, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$46.00May 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$46.50May 17, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.79May 17, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$9.80May 17, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$9.88May 17, 14:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$68.45May 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$7.70May 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$82.71May 16, 18:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $44.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 06:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".