Frilly-Gas
0x212ff7e71e245ab47b1e00f6dede4fef8495a834
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$137.67
Total PnL
$-119.90
Realised
$5.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
253 shares @ 30.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$102.60
$26.60
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
29 shares @ 17.5¢·now 31.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$8.87
$3.87
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
35 shares @ 22.7¢·now 17.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.32
$-1.68
- YES
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
102 shares @ 8.1¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.66
$-4.54
- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
97 shares @ 2.1¢·now 3.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.10
$1.10
- YES
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
17 shares @ 41.5¢·now 17.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.86
$-4.14
- NO
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 50.4¢·exp Mar 1, 2027$2.52
$0.52
- YES
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
367 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
833 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$1.04Jun 7, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00Jun 7, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00Jun 7, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00Jun 7, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$1.04Jun 7, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$1.04Jun 7, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.28May 15, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.32May 15, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$4.77May 13, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$501.57Apr 22, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$339.91Apr 22, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$2.00Mar 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$2.00Mar 16, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$2.00Mar 16, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$37.40Mar 16, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by between 0% and 3%?$1.00Mar 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released by June 30?$1.00Mar 13, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $22.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 15:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 20:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.