Burdensome-Armadillo
0x21405be22aa7fc6983d91113b79d94cd73c35790
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$14.2K
Total PnL
$-13.4K
Realised
$-19.42
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2363 shares @ 68.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$738.55
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
3077 shares @ 52.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.0K
$400.00
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
1428 shares @ 16.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
1294 shares @ 39.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$702.48
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
5425 shares @ 33.1¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-736.06
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1295 shares @ 71.0¢·now 73.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$952.14
$33.24
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
2605 shares @ 44.5¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$625.08
$-534.27
- NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
606 shares @ 77.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$598.84
$131.84
- NO
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
539 shares @ 76.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$477.25
$63.25
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
516 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$448.64
$15.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$409.41Jun 13, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$217.19Jun 13, 06:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$4.45Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$409.92Jun 12, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$23.25Jun 12, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$261.26Jun 12, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$0.18Jun 12, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$0.90Jun 12, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$0.18Jun 12, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$150.00Jun 12, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$7.13Jun 12, 06:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$52.45Jun 11, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$138.86Jun 11, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$263.27Jun 11, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$12.41Jun 11, 02:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?$15.05Jun 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$200.68Jun 10, 12:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $125.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.