Mad-Incident
0x21a1a4c3ba9583e2796c9320da8dab525de02f95
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$1.3K
Realised
$688.39
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
1535 shares @ 16.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$1.1K
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
852 shares @ 25.3¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$596.21
$380.53
- NO
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
284 shares @ 39.7¢·now 56.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$160.72
$48.22
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
140 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$140.00
$32.20
- YES
Databricks IPO before 2027?
600 shares @ 27.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$132.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4701 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$112.82
$30.82
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1747 shares @ 1.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$112.68
$82.04
- NO
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
131 shares @ 51.8¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$104.53
$36.87
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
400 shares @ 25.2¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$93.00
$-7.80
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1200 shares @ 4.7¢·now 5.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$68.40
$12.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 26, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.