Giving-Kettledrum
0x21b6719adfe150a539c9afdd88220422a30583d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$514.57
Total PnL
$-616.65
Realised
$63.85
Win rate
69%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$108.00
$-12.49
- YES
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?
927 shares @ 8.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$106.55
$28.06
- NO
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?
800 shares @ 10.1¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.40
$-28.40
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.00
$21.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
700 shares @ 9.2¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.45
$-19.95
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 34.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.23
$11.24
- YES
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
168 shares @ 4.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.54
$16.81
- YES
Human moon landing in 2026?
617 shares @ 5.1¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.82
$-12.79
- YES
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
100 shares @ 9.3¢·now 15.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$15.55
$6.22
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
4700 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$11.75
$-25.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?$11.80Jun 13, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?$21.20Jun 13, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?$1.12Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?$0.26Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?$0.23Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?$1.69Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?$0.26Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?$0.25Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?$30.00Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$68.26Jun 13, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02Jun 13, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.72Jun 13, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.00Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$10.26Jun 12, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?$14.02Jun 12, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?$31.98Jun 12, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.00Jun 12, 01:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$45.00Jun 11, 21:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $12.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 01:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.