Capital-Contributor
0x21fe77f7c7861c5f0a70a26ae86dfbaf1c5eda90
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$10.8K
Total PnL
$1.5K
Realised
$460.45
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
1232 shares @ 75.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$216.08
- YES
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
1162 shares @ 89.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.0K
$-25.69
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1300 shares @ 45.6¢·now 66.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$867.74
$274.75
- NO
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
843 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$792.41
$101.16
- NO
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
700 shares @ 80.7¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$666.40
$101.40
- NO
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
524 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$519.20
$6.55
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
30000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$495.00
$8.34
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
500 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$467.49
$12.50
- YES
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
50000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$425.00
$115.35
- NO
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
417 shares @ 91.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$415.78
$34.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.21Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$31.85Jun 12, 01:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$165.05Jun 10, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.34Jun 10, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52.08Jun 10, 02:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?$188.26Jun 9, 04:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$28.69Jun 7, 16:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$23.31Jun 6, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$1.90Jun 6, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$50.79Jun 6, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$77.88Jun 6, 06:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$0.43Jun 5, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$4.57Jun 5, 03:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $74.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.