Ugly-Wren
0x221142303a2d8f55c13760d12cc2ce9dd133f15b
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$-584.74
Realised
$21.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
2300 shares @ 13.0¢·now 38.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$894.70
$595.70
- YES
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
991 shares @ 60.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$757.89
$163.47
- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
800 shares @ 88.1¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$688.00
$-16.92
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
820 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$676.50
$4.50
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
645 shares @ 82.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$551.40
$17.83
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
600 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$543.00
$33.00
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 4.6¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$434.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
1922 shares @ 11.8¢·now 17.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$326.66
$100.26
- NO
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
690 shares @ 47.8¢·now 43.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$300.15
$-29.63
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
300 shares @ 79.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$265.50
$27.23
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$5.00Jun 11, 05:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$3.33Jun 7, 17:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$181.20Jun 5, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$15.49Jun 5, 23:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$129.84Jun 3, 17:20 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.99Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$94.17Jun 2, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$107.62Jun 2, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $129.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 17:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.