Probable-Silence
0x2236804c1010e4d71d7f1a62a5fc186144626e0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-480.63
Realised
$-61.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
708 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-127.67
- YES
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 1?
451 shares @ 53.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-242.46
- YES
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 1?
136 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-49.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$263.54May 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$701.13May 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$784.89May 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$204.52May 15, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$59.43May 15, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$12.22May 15, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$8.80May 15, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$54.84May 15, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$25.31May 15, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$30.99May 15, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$249.49May 15, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$612.30May 15, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$205.80May 15, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$820.03May 14, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.8KMay 14, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.1KMay 14, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$478.73May 14, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.5KMay 14, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$588.61May 14, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$255.62May 14, 20:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $212.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 12:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.