Alarmed-Oyster
0x22bfdbce977910d559672f37a33882b04cde8642
Quality score
91/100
Open positions
145
Open notional
$232.01
Total PnL
$-188.39
Realised
$51.35
Win rate
94%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- YES
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
608 shares @ 11.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.70
$-15.64
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
313 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.58
$-0.94
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
264 shares @ 6.6¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.53
$-2.99
- YES
Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.8%?
25 shares @ 29.8¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.76
$1.40
- YES
Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.1%?
31 shares @ 20.8¢·now 26.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.37
$1.89
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
80 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.80
$-7.20
- YES
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
120 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.78
$-1.22
- YES
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.27
$-0.61
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.5123h ago
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.301d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.311d ago
- TRADESELLWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.1%?$0.511d ago
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$0.141d ago
- TRADESELLWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.5%?$0.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.161d ago
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.081d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$3.832d ago
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$0.032d ago
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$0.082d ago
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?$0.092d ago
- TRADESELLWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.5%?$0.012d ago
- TRADESELLBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.162d ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.202d ago
- TRADESELLWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.5%?$0.012d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.172d ago
- TRADESELLBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.322d ago
- TRADESELLWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.5%?$0.022d ago
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$0.552d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 23h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.