Exotic-Trim
0x239fd0ac04518ae06395ac3e5bd00e057e212a2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$113.42
Total PnL
$-143.05
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
26 shares @ 84.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.84
$1.76
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
23 shares @ 77.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.00
$4.61
- NO
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
25 shares @ 61.5¢·now 41.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$10.53
$-5.11
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
10 shares @ 54.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.97
$4.57
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 62.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.90
$2.70
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.90
$-2.10
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1101 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$7.16
$-82.08
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.05
$2.15
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
34 shares @ 30.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$6.97
$-3.23
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 8.7¢·now 19.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.87
$2.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$10.00Jul 1, 06:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $7.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.