0x23b14c37ec4cbfa1978f45de091b869b3b6b7b49
0x23b14c37ec4cbfa1978f45de091b869b3b6b7b49
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$14.71
Total PnL
$-10.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$2.94
$1.94
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.79
$-2.21
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 17.4¢·now 19.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.40
$-0.60
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.09
$-4.91
- NO
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?
14 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.09Jun 20, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.04Jun 17, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?$1.63Jun 17, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?$2.13Jun 17, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.00Jun 17, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMO/U 4.5 Rounds$0.00Jun 17, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$0.00Jun 17, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.00Jun 17, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.00Jun 17, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$0.00Jun 17, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$0.00Jun 17, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMFight to Go the Distance?$0.00Jun 17, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.00Jun 17, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$50.00Jun 17, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 4.5 Rounds$1.06Jun 12, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$1.07Jun 12, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$1.05Jun 12, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$10.64Jun 12, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$8.43Jun 12, 04:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 07:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 22:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.