Distorted-Circulation
0x23eb447b90de5ce161e69edc318bbedabf91c516
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$293.97
Total PnL
$148.39
Realised
$126.10
Win rate
38%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.00
$3.60
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.00
$0.50
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.00
$0.14
- NO
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
5 shares @ 92.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.00
$0.38
- NO
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 73.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.99
$1.32
- NO
Will Tracie Burke be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.99
$0.69
- NO
Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.99
$0.54
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
5 shares @ 42.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.97
$2.85
- NO
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
5 shares @ 93.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.96
$0.31
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.96
$3.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$0.00Jun 12, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$0.00Jun 12, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$5.00Jun 12, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$5.00Jun 12, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?$1.65Jun 11, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?$1.00Jun 10, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$3.68Jun 10, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$5.00Jun 10, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$0.00Jun 10, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$5.00Jun 10, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Judith Nakamura win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$5.00Jun 10, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$0.00Jun 10, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?$0.00Jun 2, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$0.00Jun 2, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Jun 2, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill two candidates other than the listed pairs be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$0.00Jun 2, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.00Jun 2, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Jun 2, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$5.00Jun 2, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$5.00Jun 2, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $3.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 23:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.