Far-Winery
0x2438e5abc4dc71da2c706820e827f3b7e28e0caa
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$49.80
Total PnL
$-227.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.21
$0.21
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 74.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.32
$3.32
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 8.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.08
$-1.92
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.77
$-3.23
- YES
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.54
$-0.46
- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 84.7¢·now 83.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
19 shares @ 10.4¢·now 2.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.52
$-1.48
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$5.10May 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.06May 25, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.88May 25, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$0.36May 25, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$0.97May 25, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$12.00May 25, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$12.08May 25, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$1.04May 22, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$8.03May 22, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$20.02May 22, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 21, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.08May 21, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$1.06May 21, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$1.06May 21, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$6.48May 21, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$5.39May 21, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$15.10May 21, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$15.02May 21, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$15.05May 19, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$15.38May 19, 10:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 05:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.