Sizzling-Afterthought
0x254cef549c8afdb7e8f2b722971f6af76fbf9a2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$13.45
Total PnL
$-24.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.00
$0.99
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.34
$0.34
- NO
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$2.86Jun 4, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.23Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.25May 19, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.56May 15, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$3.04May 14, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1.28May 12, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1.33May 12, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1.54May 12, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.03May 11, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 11, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 11, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.04May 11, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$1.11May 9, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.03May 3, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$5.06May 3, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.01May 3, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEM1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?$0.00May 3, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMChirayu Rana fired?$1.16May 2, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$1.49May 1, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$1.00May 1, 07:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 05:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.