Purple-Manager
0x265fa61e21aff2f34b04a7c8272515025448e0ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
83
Open notional
$165.91
Total PnL
$-281.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$52.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$19.35
$-0.65
- NO
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.94
$8.94
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
14 shares @ 72.5¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.12
$3.12
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
39 shares @ 38.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.46
$-4.54
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
14 shares @ 42.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.39
$2.39
- YES
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
41 shares @ 11.8¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.39
$1.52
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
7 shares @ 74.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.38
$1.38
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.19
$-3.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$0.00May 16, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$5.05May 15, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?$5.11May 15, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.01May 15, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$2.16May 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.05May 15, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$10.20May 15, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$2.33May 6, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.04May 6, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Pistons$13.33May 5, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$9.26May 2, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.79May 2, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.03May 2, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$5.17May 2, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs$10.18May 2, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees$5.10May 2, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs$5.10May 2, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Celtics$10.09May 2, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00May 2, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.00May 2, 17:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".