Fake-Inn
0x2783e38aa7b7d1ba8a7f3cef36bed993f3138321
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$19.6K
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
19019 shares @ 92.1¢·now 77.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$14.8K
$-2.7K
- NO
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
4954 shares @ 86.0¢·now 77.8¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$3.9K
$-406.95
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1139 shares @ 91.8¢·now 77.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$881.05
$-164.20
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.35
$0.85
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.94
$0.94
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 87.9¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$1.63
$0.63
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.33
$0.33
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.20
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$23.98Jul 21, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$63.02Jul 21, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$88.00Jul 21, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$89.00Jul 21, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$90.00Jul 21, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$91.00Jul 21, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$92.00Jul 21, 13:27 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.26Jul 21, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$93.00Jul 20, 17:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$227.58Jul 19, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$8.45Jul 19, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$9.30Jul 19, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$9.50Jul 19, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$9.10Jul 19, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$9.58Jul 19, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$9.12Jul 19, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?$9.60Jul 19, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$47.41Jul 19, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?$9.79Jul 19, 09:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $629.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 14:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.