Frightening-Mankind
0x279bc54fba66ea74eef17938d3ae53f27c10e05b
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$129.08
Total PnL
$-234.07
Realised
$-8.43
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
90 shares @ 49.5¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.15
$-5.45
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
155 shares @ 56.1¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.50
$-54.30
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
147 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.48
$0.22
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
64 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.26
$-0.32
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.33
$-3.67
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.25
$-6.73
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
233 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?
221 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-61.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$16.80Jun 11, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?$3.12Jun 11, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 11, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?$4.65Jun 11, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?$24.00Jun 11, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.06Jun 11, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.46Jun 11, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.96Jun 11, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.42Jun 11, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.74Jun 11, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?$30.48Jun 10, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?$1.03Jun 10, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 8?$1.04Jun 8, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$70.00Jun 8, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 8, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$175.57Jun 8, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$15.00Jun 4, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$7.27Jun 3, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $20.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.