Belated-Grief
0x281045399be0d61db1b1f237e8530d78ade7c560
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$283.10
Total PnL
$31.19
Realised
$1.64
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
239 shares @ 35.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$239.20
$154.20
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
27 shares @ 63.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$26.85
$9.85
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
6 shares @ 83.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.01
$1.01
- YES
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.78
$-2.22
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 33.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-1.04
- YES
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
67 shares @ 17.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.91
$-11.09
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.85
$0.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.81
$-1.19
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.79
$-1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$2.98Feb 5, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$2.00Feb 4, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$2.90Feb 3, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$2.00Feb 2, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$5.00Feb 2, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$3.00Feb 2, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$0.00Feb 2, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$3.28Feb 2, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$2.00Feb 1, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$5.00Feb 1, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?$10.18Feb 1, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?$2.00Jan 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?$2.00Jan 23, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?$2.00Jan 23, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.00Jan 23, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$10.00Jan 5, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition$1.00Jan 5, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.00Jan 5, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$3.00Jan 5, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$5.00Jan 5, 10:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 11:39 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 14:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.