Sorrowful-Samovar
0x2843d543c60a54106f572ab74f0e2e04f293b3d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$-238.69
Realised
$338.88
Win rate
82%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
800 shares @ 79.7¢·now 89.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$717.61
$79.60
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 63.6¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$535.00
$-101.00
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
310 shares @ 84.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$297.44
$36.05
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
400 shares @ 75.5¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$248.00
$-54.00
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
570 shares @ 45.3¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$219.58
$-38.56
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
401 shares @ 69.7¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$202.61
$-77.16
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
200 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$199.90
$27.90
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
200 shares @ 83.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$196.00
$30.00
- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
200 shares @ 81.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$195.50
$33.50
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
279 shares @ 59.1¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.52
$24.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$83.96Jun 14, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$20.27Jun 14, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$20.48Jun 14, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$23.85Jun 14, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$15.60Jun 14, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$15.80Jun 14, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$100.00Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$65.60Jun 14, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)$21.90Jun 14, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 9-11 times in June?$25.48Jun 14, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$56.00Jun 14, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$68.80Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$8.29Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$10.20Jun 13, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.14Jun 13, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.18Jun 13, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.24Jun 13, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.18Jun 13, 21:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $24.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 03:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.