Internal-Hail
0x2884f98185d2005691d245f3e2e70b15d1e1d0c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$10.8K
Total PnL
$212.30
Realised
$247.04
Win rate
96%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
3575 shares @ 87.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$94.49
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
1777 shares @ 86.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$7.69
- NO
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
1445 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$29.04
- NO
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
1417 shares @ 80.6¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$34.31
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
1053 shares @ 88.9¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$931.90
$-3.86
- NO
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
615 shares @ 94.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$605.75
$25.45
- NO
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?
311 shares @ 94.8¢·now 91.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$283.21
$-11.42
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
361 shares @ 61.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$236.52
$16.16
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
253 shares @ 62.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$173.36
$14.59
- NO
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
191 shares @ 57.8¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$126.94
$16.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?$104.40Jul 6, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?$2.13Jul 6, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?$3.55Jul 6, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by August 31, 2026?$9.08Jul 6, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by August 31, 2026?$9.10Jul 6, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by August 31, 2026?$9.10Jul 6, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump meets with Putin by September 30?$31.85Jul 6, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$1.00Jul 6, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$5.00Jul 6, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$37.66Jul 6, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.05Jul 6, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.01Jul 6, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.07Jul 6, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.08Jul 6, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.11Jul 6, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.09Jul 6, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.14Jul 6, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$5.35Jul 6, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$8.80Jul 6, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?$30.10Jul 6, 04:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $62.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 14:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.