Downright-Refectory
0x28bee3d2c86cb9f6808a2e32ad0191eeff7df1e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.80
Total PnL
$-27.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?
15 shares @ 6.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 17-23?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Prince Andrew released by February 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 16-19, 2026?
480 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
180 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 20-23, 2026?
118 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 19?
25 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 16-22?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitmine announce an Ethereum purchase February 17-23?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs$1.61Feb 20, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?$0.67Feb 20, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?$0.33Feb 20, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMPrince Andrew released by February 19?$0.00Feb 20, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrince Andrew released by February 20?$1.00Feb 19, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA 6 launch postponed again?$0.86Feb 19, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026?$0.75Feb 19, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrince Andrew released by February 19?$1.67Feb 19, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?$0.45Feb 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "Tesla" or "Lamborghini" during his next YouTube video?$0.22Feb 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLJustin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?$0.79Feb 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 19?$1.00Feb 19, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?$0.41Feb 19, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 19?$2.00Feb 19, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?$0.41Feb 19, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026$1.63Feb 19, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Feb 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 16-22?$1.26Feb 17, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 16-22?$1.00Feb 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 16-22?$3.00Feb 17, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 15:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".