Deficient-Pool
0x29826077d805c6999bd758f429032d4fdac3aa17
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
194
Open notional
$74.49
Total PnL
$-975.89
Realised
$63.59
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 194- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
100 shares @ 68.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$45.49
$-22.50
- YES
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.35
$-6.65
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
5 shares @ 93.5¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.77
$0.09
- NO
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.98
$-0.52
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
100 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.15
$-0.45
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.05
$-0.50
- YES
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.80
$-0.20
- YES
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 77.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.77
$-13.63
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.57
$0.57
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$3.88Jul 21, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael Nadal attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?$10.59Jul 20, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?$20.06Jul 20, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.41Jul 20, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro AND Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Mona Barthel AND Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee AND Hamburg European Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Anhelina Kalinina$1.00Jul 20, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro$4.20Jul 20, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$10.29Jul 19, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?$20.20Jul 19, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.27Jul 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Nadal attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?$10.13Jul 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Brady attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?$1.06Jul 18, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?$3.52Jul 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$10.11Jul 17, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMSet Handicap: Collignon (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)$1.59Jul 17, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Collignon (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)$1.03Jul 17, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.01Jul 16, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?$1.02Jul 15, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 14?$2.00Jul 14, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMSwiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler$2.94Jul 14, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 14?$1.03Jul 14, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $107.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 11:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.