Ornery-Accordance
0x29b5614dd1233c6b6d1591af12889e7c3a8b649d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$628.56
Total PnL
$-983.51
Realised
$12.75
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
287 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$275.76
$14.63
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
195 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$180.26
$-0.97
- NO
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
28 shares @ 91.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$26.67
$1.13
- YES
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
27 shares @ 52.8¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$20.03
$5.92
- YES
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
18 shares @ 82.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$18.16
$3.07
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
16 shares @ 74.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.68
$3.84
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
17 shares @ 72.2¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.04
$0.65
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
56 shares @ 54.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.64
$-17.70
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.77
$0.28
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
12 shares @ 54.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.45
$2.73
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$16.89Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$97.75Jun 1, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$9.35Jun 1, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$329.98Jun 1, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$5.28May 27, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?$4.68May 21, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$8.47May 20, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$5.85May 20, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$6.79May 20, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$42.73May 19, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$60.22May 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$4.01May 19, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$13.49May 19, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$21.21May 19, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?$25.63May 19, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.60May 19, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.60May 19, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$5.50May 18, 18:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $24.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.