Watery-Bucket
0x29c3f73dd1e62914809ad93b5c55af7a27ddcd63
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
2273 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.3K
$42.04
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
777 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$777.37
$178.79
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
355 shares @ 80.7¢·now 5.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$17.75
$-268.75
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
150 shares @ 26.0¢·now 5.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.11
$-30.95
- NO
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.75
$0.05
- NO
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
236 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-78.01
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$13.02May 12, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.2KMay 12, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.01May 12, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude go down 6-8 times in April?$50.00May 12, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMClaude 4.7 released by June 30?$143.90May 12, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMClaude 4.7 released by May 31?$551.04May 12, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.5KMay 12, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.5KApr 14, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.83Apr 14, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$39.06Apr 14, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic acquired before 2027?$4.70Apr 14, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 6-8 times in April?$49.00Apr 14, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.7 released by June 30?$97.70Apr 14, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.7 released by May 31?$505.20Apr 14, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.7 released by May 31?$23.98Apr 14, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.7 released by June 30?$42.85Apr 14, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMOnce Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?$697.17Mar 30, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$698.00Mar 30, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$830.24Mar 30, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$679.85Feb 3, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $735.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 17:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.