Self-Assured-Personality
0x29fa9579c4e998a9d88110b63017612500f3d0f0
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$54.49
Total PnL
$2.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?
32 shares @ 62.5¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$22.89
$2.89
- YES
Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$20.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
18 shares @ 27.6¢·now 26.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 59.8¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?$20.313h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?$20.3016h ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$0.0016d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Democrat" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$0.0036d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Democrat" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$20.0038d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$16.3039d ago
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "American Dream" during Michigan visit?$22.7343d ago
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?$67.0043d ago
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?$44.6943d ago
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Nuclear" during Michigan visit?$34.2444d ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Nuclear" during Michigan visit?$20.0044d ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "American Dream" during Michigan visit?$20.0044d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?$18.5045d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?$18.2545d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?$12.0045d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?$11.5045d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?$36.5045d ago
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan attend the Oscars?$0.0046d ago
- REDEEMWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$15.1546d ago
- REDEEMWill Emma Stone attend the Oscars?$0.0046d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $13.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 62d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".