Arid-Leverage
0x2a7f5f7a1ac8bf6d9a108703319f24621ab14e57
Quality score
66/100
Open positions
19
Open notional
$41.27
Total PnL
$-119.58
Realised
$-1.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will Google say "Pixel 10" or "Pixel 10a" during earnings call?
20 shares @ 50.5¢·now 47.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$9.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$9.25
$-0.50
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.57
$-3.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
51 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?
23 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google say "Pixel 10" or "Pixel 10a" during earnings call?$10.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$10.005h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$20.005h ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$20.006h ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$18.876h ago
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$83.756h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$10.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$20.0011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$50.0011d ago
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$67.3011d ago
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.0015d ago
- TRADESELLWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$12.4515d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$75.5515d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$10.0015d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$50.0015d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$0.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$50.0017d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$0.0017d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$98.0417d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$50.0023d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $19.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 52d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.