Jagged-Clay
0x2a8db52e3f2d4d5d797b1c0bd113361dabac2295
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.20
Total PnL
$-31.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
13 shares @ 53.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.64
$-5.36
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-1.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?
19 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- METS
Mets vs. Cardinals
10 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
7 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 11?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 14, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.99Mar 14, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.50Mar 6, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.99Mar 6, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.06Mar 6, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.82Mar 5, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$2.00Mar 5, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$2.40Mar 5, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$2.00Mar 5, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 5, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 11?$0.25Mar 5, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.00Mar 5, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.91Mar 5, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?$1.25Mar 5, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?$0.00Mar 5, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?$0.00Mar 5, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?$0.00Mar 5, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?$0.00Mar 5, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?$0.00Mar 5, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?$0.00Mar 5, 08:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 21:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".