Definitive-Warden
0x2b8efc2086fcd754a1d98486629f8a38aca8809d
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$14.82
Total PnL
$-167.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$2.77
$1.69
- BOSTON RED SOX
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- TOP ESPORTS CHALLENGER
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group A
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$1.89
$0.66
- NO
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$0.01
- NO
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.36
$0.00
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.34
$0.07
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$0.08
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.08
$0.07
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
1 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.81
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group A$1.24Jun 11, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09?$1.01Jun 9, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mauritania win on 2026-06-08?$1.10Jun 8, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia win on 2026-06-06?$1.13Jun 6, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.01May 31, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs$2.83May 31, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles$322.11May 31, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles$150.57May 28, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.03May 24, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs$1.15May 24, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$1.46May 24, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$1.01May 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.50May 24, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs megoshort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs$0.97May 24, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?$1.09May 24, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$1.18May 24, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMAnother EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?$1.20May 24, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.22May 24, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.23May 24, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$1.23May 24, 04:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $6.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 08:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.