Uneven-Airline
0x2b942c3ee41274384ac4325936b3aecd4c8f0fa9
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$21.13
Total PnL
$-289.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
10 shares @ 88.1¢·now 61.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.13
$-2.67
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.00
$4.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.00
$2.40
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$1.70
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
301 shares @ 56.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-170.60
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
112 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-18.44
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
112 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
111 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
66 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-34.60
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
10 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$2.60May 25, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.30May 25, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?$1.00May 25, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$8.81May 17, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$11.36May 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$1.20Apr 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?$12.30Apr 16, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.37Apr 16, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$13.44Apr 15, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$14.93Apr 15, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$25.00Apr 4, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$4.60Apr 1, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$11.90Apr 1, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$21.74Apr 1, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$5.60Mar 25, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$5.00Mar 25, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?$11.74Mar 22, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.00Mar 21, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$10.00Mar 21, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$15.00Mar 21, 08:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $16.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 06:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 21:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.