Assured-Seller
0x2c6fb390cf84f969b7864f7227dbfc05eb3f5ddf
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$341.70
Total PnL
$-280.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
983 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$93.35
$-83.52
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
100 shares @ 66.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$63.50
$-2.50
- NO
Evo Morales arrested by May 31
65 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$53.10
$-0.33
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
80 shares @ 64.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$46.80
$-4.40
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$41.50
$-3.50
- YES
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
400 shares @ 24.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
20 shares @ 36.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$7.76
$0.50
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
30 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$3.90
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $610b on May 31?
40 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.90
$0.10
- YES
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
90 shares @ 23.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.84
$-18.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.21May 8, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.99May 8, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$7.44May 3, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $610b on May 31?$2.90May 3, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLEvo Morales arrested by May 31$9.68May 3, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?$5.31May 1, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$51.20May 1, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$66.90May 1, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$94.00Apr 30, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?$94.80Apr 30, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?$1.20Apr 30, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$108.58Apr 29, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$298.50Apr 29, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$118.54Apr 29, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$122.88Apr 28, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$0.00Apr 28, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$0.01Apr 28, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$65.00Apr 27, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$100.00Apr 27, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$0.00Apr 25, 23:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $51.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 03:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 18:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".