Vapid-Major
0x2d1b8c2de29a59ffa207072ee2ba6c8422f1b2ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$90.00
Total PnL
$12.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.78Jul 6, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?$77.67Jun 25, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$48.25Jun 1, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$50.23Jun 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.73Jun 1, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Athletics win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$50.86May 30, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?$16.38May 30, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?$2.26May 29, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?$31.90May 28, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$48.20May 25, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?$19.85May 25, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?$30.33May 25, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$49.59May 24, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Series?$45.77May 23, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Series?$4.97May 23, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$49.16May 23, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$0.59May 22, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.99May 20, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$49.55May 20, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$50.03May 19, 07:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $35.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 10:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 03:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.