Immaculate-Comb-Swamp
0x2d5f6e7926e0c898819adc071d556ca7edd19c36
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$34.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
570 shares @ 95.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$555.46
$13.40
- NO
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 93.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$233.74
$-0.85
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
240 shares @ 90.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$226.80
$8.60
- NO
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?
250 shares @ 89.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$223.75
$0.25
- YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
204 shares @ 96.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$199.55
$2.32
- NO
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
200 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.20
$4.20
- NO
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
200 shares @ 92.4¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.09
$5.30
- NO
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?
200 shares @ 92.3¢·now 93.8¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$187.68
$3.15
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$183.00
$1.00
- NO
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
150 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$145.88
$1.57
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$43.15Jul 26, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYModi out by December 31, 2026?$3.86Jul 26, 16:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$48.55Jul 25, 23:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?$43.50Jul 22, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$52.19Jul 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$91.00Jul 22, 01:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMClaudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?$100.00Jul 20, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYModi out by December 31, 2026?$5.41Jul 20, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TX-18 House seat?$46.85Jul 20, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYModi out by December 31, 2026?$5.21Jul 20, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $35.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.