Frilly-Difference
0x2e6a5bfeb76cb28df7d8d8601c8d2ef96e4e7155
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
123
Open notional
$641.34
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$49.92
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
263 shares @ 58.8¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$130.01
$-24.39
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
141 shares @ 82.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$127.36
$10.96
- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.78
$-15.22
- YES
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
148 shares @ 63.8¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.32
$-21.20
- YES
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.00
$6.00
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
75 shares @ 73.1¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.96
$-0.82
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
669 shares @ 14.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.14
$-49.86
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
625 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.81
$-17.19
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
33 shares @ 51.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.71
$-2.24
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
25 shares @ 46.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.83
$-6.57
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$144.08Jun 14, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$451.87Jun 14, 03:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$426.34Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $37.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.