Arid-Hammock
0x2e6cdb6af66e6528a6f8db0a14b51be9134751e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$202.1K
Total PnL
$5.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
95493 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$94.2K
$2.5K
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
52812 shares @ 92.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.1K
$2.1K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
20800 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.9K
$-104.00
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
16000 shares @ 91.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.8K
$220.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
9842 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.7K
$235.37
- NO
Netanyahu out by May 31?
9283 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.2K
$250.64
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
3339 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.2K
$150.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20.0KMay 15, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$10.2KMay 11, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$88.9KMay 1, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by April 30?$20.4KMay 1, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by April 30?$22.4KMay 1, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$3.4KApr 29, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$5.5KApr 29, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$8.9KApr 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$4.83Apr 29, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.86Apr 29, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.76Apr 29, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.3KApr 29, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$4.9KApr 29, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$94.00Apr 26, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$188.00Apr 26, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.02Apr 26, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$12.2KApr 26, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$0.34Apr 26, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$3.1KApr 26, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$52.77Apr 26, 10:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 17:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".