Prime-Witchhunt
0x2fe7f8094961be5fd631852392486ca6dd9503e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
161
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$579.58
Win rate
68%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 161- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
510 shares @ 90.6¢·now 91.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$464.61
$2.55
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
435 shares @ 22.7¢·now 87.9¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$382.16
$283.53
- NO
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?
440 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$376.19
$15.40
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
488 shares @ 82.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$370.93
$-29.07
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
400 shares @ 71.9¢·now 85.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$340.79
$53.21
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
400 shares @ 70.8¢·now 65.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$261.60
$-21.60
- NO
ECB rate cut in 2026?
190 shares @ 62.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$166.25
$48.45
- NO
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
165 shares @ 60.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$151.17
$51.17
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$127.50
$27.50
- NO
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?
200 shares @ 58.1¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$125.00
$8.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBank of England rate hike in 2026?$19.98Jul 28, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England rate hike in 2026?$50.00Jul 27, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England rate hike in 2026?$48.15Jul 27, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$116.68Jul 26, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$12.22Jul 26, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$12.22Jul 26, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$73.37Jul 26, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monero hit $1000 in 2026?$21.18Jul 25, 21:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.83Jul 24, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?$254.88Jul 23, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England rate hike in 2026?$30.30Jul 23, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?$462.06Jul 23, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?$28.32Jul 23, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?$360.79Jul 22, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monero hit $1000 in 2026?$19.02Jul 22, 08:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.12Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- REWARD$1.41Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England rate hike in 2026?$136.00Jul 21, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monero hit $1000 in 2026?$20.68Jul 20, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
68% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $75.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.