Weighty-Rate
0x310df5d5d48baa38050eb76d5e611a40623fbed0
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$367.28
Total PnL
$-576.59
Realised
$-12.42
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
747 shares @ 43.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.93
$-255.07
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
750 shares @ 26.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.25
$-145.24
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
54 shares @ 56.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$53.38
$23.38
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
298 shares @ 50.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$37.21
$-112.79
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
100 shares @ 28.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.49
$6.49
- YES
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
254 shares @ 18.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.16
$-22.84
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
63 shares @ 49.6¢·now 35.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.11
$-9.14
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
112 shares @ 29.4¢·now 19.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.81
$-11.15
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$11.22
$1.22
- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
220 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.79
$-1.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$0.00Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$10.00Jul 28, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$10.00Jul 24, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $21.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.