0x323143bdfdb427583573a6c6e8eeee6d3cbae165
0x323143bdfdb427583573a6c6e8eeee6d3cbae165
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$86.28
Total PnL
$4.45
Realised
$4.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
37 shares @ 71.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.70
$-0.55
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
22 shares @ 89.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.69
$0.89
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$16.20
$6.30
- YES
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
10 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.77
$-0.13
- YES
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
60 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.28
$-3.29
- NO
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?
5 shares @ 88.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.22
$0.59
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.27
$-2.45
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.15
$0.02
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
4 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.133d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?$9.923d ago
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$10.033d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$0.163d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$0.023d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$0.053d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$0.203d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$0.013d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$0.183d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$9.903d ago
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$10.763d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$0.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?$4.663d ago
- TRADESELLClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$4.734d ago
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$4.706d ago
- TRADESELLClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$4.796d ago
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$4.707d ago
- TRADESELLTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$4.837d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".