Miserly-Age
0x32698c6f006f583e523667a0d0081f1747681e7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$12.2K
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$736.80
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
8640 shares @ 50.2¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.0K
$1.7K
- NO
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
4282 shares @ 59.8¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$3.0K
$413.85
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8305 shares @ 19.5¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$-16.49
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
1093 shares @ 58.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$858.33
$218.26
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1000 shares @ 55.6¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$779.78
$223.70
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
30575 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-293.46
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
3662 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
2920 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2900 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-396.40
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
2883 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-806.47
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.39Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.34Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$793.51Jul 27, 12:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.81Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$2.77Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$2.29Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.57Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.52Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.93Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$2.60Jul 21, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $33.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 14:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.