Thoughtful-Behest

• YES

  AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

  9 shares @ 93.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $7.35

  $-0.65

• YES

  Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

  10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $7.20

  $-0.10

• YES

  Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

  10 shares @ 77.9¢·now 56.1¢·exp Jun 9, 2026

  $5.62

  $-2.17

• YES

  Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

  17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $3.58

  $0.58

• YES

  Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

  8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026

  $2.42

  $-0.58

• YES

  Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

  12 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026

  $1.92

  $-0.08

• YES

  US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

  1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026

  $1.12

  $0.12

• YES

  Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

  10 shares @ 9.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026

  $1.10

  $0.10

• YES

  US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

  1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $1.09

  $0.09

• YES

  Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

  12 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026

  $0.99

  $-0.01

• TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 13, 12:20 UTC
• TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$8.02Jun 13, 06:16 UTC
• REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$8.00Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$7.40Jun 13, 01:27 UTC
• TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$7.68Jun 13, 01:24 UTC
• TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.13Jun 13, 01:23 UTC
• TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$5.73Jun 13, 01:22 UTC
• TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$5.75Jun 13, 01:22 UTC
• TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1.14Jun 13, 01:22 UTC
• TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.31Jun 13, 01:22 UTC
• TRADEBUYNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$1.02Jun 12, 14:37 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.03Jun 12, 14:36 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.03Jun 12, 14:36 UTC
• TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$3.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Trump say "Georgia" 10+ times during Tele-Rallies?$0.02Jun 11, 23:23 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Georgia" 10+ times during Tele-Rallies?$1.04Jun 11, 23:15 UTC
• TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Jun 11, 22:54 UTC
• TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.03Jun 11, 22:52 UTC
• TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 11, 22:51 UTC
• TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 11, 22:50 UTC

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