0x334ce4f470b7acb4e7580f45783ae1d31e741cbd
0x334ce4f470b7acb4e7580f45783ae1d31e741cbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$81.30
Total PnL
$3.79
Realised
$1.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 50.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.74
$5.74
- NO
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
17 shares @ 92.6¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.84
$0.10
- YES
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
57 shares @ 19.6¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.69
$-1.50
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
40 shares @ 22.9¢·now 20.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.28
$-0.90
- NO
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
8 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.76
$0.07
- NO
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.00
$1.50
- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.22
$0.32
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.05
$2.07
- YES
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
50 shares @ 2.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.25
$1.80
- YES
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
30 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.51
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$7.45Jun 4, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.37Jun 4, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$6.66Jun 3, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$6.84Jun 3, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$4.75Jun 3, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$3.80Jun 2, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$8.34Jun 1, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$4.73Jun 1, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$1.62Jun 1, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?$7.70Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$6.62Jun 1, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x India military clash by December 31, 2026?$5.40Jun 1, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x India military clash by December 31, 2026?$1.10Jun 1, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$3.54Jun 1, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$10.88Jun 1, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$0.77May 29, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x India military clash by December 31, 2026?$12.32May 28, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$3.90May 26, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$9.97May 25, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$7.45May 22, 00:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.