Forsaken-Mandarin
0x33b3b135660b97b4ba65dad30bf07c7d2281d03d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$961.63
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
612 shares @ 86.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$592.86
$60.71
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
400 shares @ 34.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$157.99
$22.00
- NO
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
164 shares @ 75.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$138.58
$15.58
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?
41 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$41.00
$15.58
- NO
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
60 shares @ 61.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.20
$-5.40
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
12143 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-66.89
- NO
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
5097 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-532.43
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
4700 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-265.00
- NO
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
1400 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-302.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
1000 shares @ 94.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-943.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$102.98May 21, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$71.43May 21, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$26.14May 21, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$103.09May 21, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$100.21May 21, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$192.74May 21, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?$25.90May 21, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$400.00May 18, 02:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.12May 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$58.17May 13, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.58May 13, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$21.81May 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.43May 13, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$51.00May 13, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$100.00May 11, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$200.00May 11, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$200.00May 11, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?$2.49Apr 30, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?$28.10Apr 30, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?$34.89Apr 30, 11:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $48.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 12:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".